UFC FN151 Betting Tips & Plays
View the MMABETMACHINE bets for UFC FN151 below:
Shane Burgos Free Breakdown
At 28 years old, Burgos is coming into his prime as he chooses on the veteran Cub Swanson. He will have a significant reach benefit of 5.5 inches and is overall a much bigger featherweight. In the pocket Burgos is vastly more technical with crisp mixes and harmful power. He’s a fantastic camp but his main weakness appears to be defense, where he has left himself vulnerable to strikes and been hurt in many recent conflicts.
Swanson is a much more unorthadox and wild fighter and his personality looks to fight against more specialized competition. He is on a substantial losing streak where he has looked vulnerable and flat in every fight. It appears Cub is on a a recession that’s not surprising given his age in a branch where speed is king. It must be noted that most of Cub’s losses have come to high 10 opposition, but it’s his lack of competitiveness that raise a red flag.
This fight ought to be entertaining with the two men willing to stand and commerce. In the unlikely event that Swanson can reignite his early career performances this could be a close battle, but we hope to see a declining veteran who can not keep up with the more technical youthful talent. Back Burgos for the win here, probably from the distance.Brad Katona Breakdown
Katona, winner of TUF and the hometown fighter is taking about the ever relentless Merab Dvalishvili. Katona has much better striking than his opponent and retains a BJJ blackbelt. In his profession he hasn’t shown the best initial takedown defense however he uses his grappling talents to remain dangerous and create scrambles. Thus far he has shown a strong ability to get back to his feet. Dvalishvili is basic standing, mostly throwing his hand to set up level changes. He averages a absurd quantity of takedown efforts each fight, compounded by the fact he struggles to keep top position for long periods.
In this fight it is possible Dvalishvili does property takedowns however Katona has plenty of skills to avoid getting stuck onto his back. More time on the toes for Katona means he’ll be in control, landing damage and amassing rounds. This should be a close fight where the value lies with the neighborhood underdog.
Bet = Katona in 2.65 (+165) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.30 Units.
Nordine Taleb Breakdown
Kyle Prepolec is coming into this fight on short notice and united with the fact he’s fighting a division his chances appear slim. Taleb is a well rounded fighter who has a significant advantage in every area of the fight. On the feet he’s defensively noise and fights long with his jab, straight punches and leg kicks to place the distance. Prepolec enjoys to get in close but leaves himself open when entering the pocket. His strikes are he ought to be open to counters in Taleb. Size will also be a large factor in which Prepolec has shown a tendency to get out muscled from the grappling department by far smaller and not as talented fighters than Taleb. This is probably his safest path to success where he likely dominates to set up a finish. On short notice introduction there are just too many obstacles to overcome and whilst the chances are brief, this looks to be an easy win.