NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400
For the first time this year, NASCAR will probably be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the pioneer at the NASCAR Monster Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He’s looking for his fourth win of the year along with also the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 odds provide him a 9-4 opportunity to get it as he starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest pace in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR at Richmond chances have moved out of 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other leading contenders in this .75-mile short course. Before bending in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 selections of your own, first make certain to have a look at the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer version at SportsLine.
Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and current results into account.
The version is off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin that a top-four competition from the start. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers at the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top five. It also nailed Busch’s huge win at Bristol a week. Anyone who has followed its selections is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Richmond Raceway have been in his blood. Now, his version mimicked the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For NASCAR at Richmond 2019, we can tell you the model is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a strong run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR at Richmond chances.
Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, which is that the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of his last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race in 2017. He’ll begin in 14th place after a slightly slower than anticipated qualifying time of 123.54 MPH. However he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) at the first practice session on Friday, so he’s shown the rate needed to climb the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.
And a huge shocker: Truex Jr., among the top Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better values in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.
The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he’s tapered off recently. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway and then fought last week in Bristol, finishing 17th. In his profession, Truex has not fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In fact, he has finished in the top five only 3 times in 26 career starts at the monitor.
The version is also targeting two other drivers with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or more time to make a serious run at winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit it big.