NASCAR at Richmond odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at Toyota Owners 400
For the first time this season, NASCAR will probably be under the lights if the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 gets underway at 7:30 p.m. ET on Saturday in Richmond Raceway. Kyle Busch enters 2019 NASCAR at Richmond as the leader at the NASCAR Dragon Energy Cup standings with 361 points. He is looking for his fourth win of the year along with the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances provide him a 9-4 chance to receive it starts in fifth place after qualifying. Kevin Harvick had the quickest speed in qualifying at 124.29 MPH, giving him the pole position. His NASCAR in Richmond odds have moved from 7-1 to 9-2. Martin Truex Jr. (6-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Brad Keselowski (10-1) are one of the other leading contenders at this .75-mile short course. Before locking in any 2019 Toyota Owners 400 picks of your own, first make certain to check out the NASCAR predictions from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
Produced by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive information engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors like track record and recent results into consideration.
The version is off to a solid start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 winner Denny Hamlin that a top-four contender from the beginning. It nailed eight of the top 10 drivers in the Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano at its projected top . It also nailed Busch’s enormous win at Bristol a week. Anybody who has followed its picks is far up.
McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic places like Richmond Raceway have been in his bloodstream. His model simulated the 2019 Toyota Owners 400 10,000 times and the results were so surprising.
For NASCAR at Richmond 2019we can tell you that the version is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a solid run at taking the checkered flag despite going off at 25-1 NASCAR in Richmond odds.
Larson’s average finish at Richmond is 9.7, that’s the third-best among active drivers. He’s finished seventh or better in four of the last five events at Richmond and won the Richmond fall race at 2017. He’ll begin in 14th place after a marginally slower than expected qualifying period of 123.54 MPH. However he posted the fastest lap (121.70 MPH) in the first practice session on Friday, so he’s revealed the rate required to scale the NASCAR in Richmond leaderboard on Saturday evening.
Along with a huge shocker: Truex Jr., one of the best Vegas favorites at 6-1, doesn’t even crack the top five. There are far better worth in a wealthy 2019 NASCAR in Richmond lineup.
The 39-year-old veteran is sitting at seventh in the standings, but he is tapered off lately. Truex finished 12th in Texas Motor Speedway after which fought last week at Bristol, ending 17th. In his career, Truex has not fared very well at Richmond Raceway either. In fact, he has finished in the top five only three times in 26 career starts at the monitor.
The model is also targeting two additional motorists with 2019 Toyota Owners 400 chances of 20-1 or even more time to make a serious run at winning everything. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit it big.