BIG MARLEY’S UFC ON FOX 30 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend we’ve got a complimentary Card big FOX. We’re finally getting the rematch with Dustin Poirier vs Eddie Alvarez following their first fight ended in a No Contest. These are two of the most exciting fighters in the UFC and we ought to observe an wonderful fight here. DraftKings has some adequate competitions out for this particular card and I was amazed to find a 20k top prize in their own principal tournament. That is precisely what I shall be chasing and I’ll be making a bunch of LUs to throw to that. Here are a Couple of plays I enjoy for Saturday and my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — Stack (Dustin Poirier $8,800 AND Eddie Alvarez $7,400)
This is an effortless method to begin my cash LU this week and I expect this to be very popular in all cash game formats. These two were on pace for a high scoring struggle in their first battle and I believe we’ve got an easy 100+ involving the both of them here. I think that the winner of the struggle will score over 100 points themselves and then we add all of the sig strikes and other points from the loser as well. But we promise ourselves that the triumph. The only way this fight does not score more than 100 DK points is somebody gets kneed in the head prohibited and the fight is stopped short….
GPP drama of the week — Hakeem Dawodu ($9,400)
I think this matchup was set up for Dawodu a win. I also think Islam Makhachev, who is $200 more, will be quite highly possessed and this could be a fantastic pivot him off to differentiate your LU a little bit. I really do think Dawodu will gain some good ownership as well but I believe he is a good GPP play this week. I feel the most probable outcome in this fight is Dawodu getting a (T)KO win. He must pay off his $9.4k salary if that is the case, particularly if it is early. He is a very solid striker and we did not get to find out that in his UFC debut at which he was upset very early in the fight. This is the best match for him to flaunt his striking and why there was a lot of hype behind him moving to his debut. I think we can observe a 1st round KO here which makes Hakeem Dawodu my GPP drama of the week.
Underdog play of the week — Ion Cutelaba ($7,600)
The most important reason Cutelaba is my underdog drama of the week is because there is not any way he isn’t scoring at least 10x if he can get the win. He’s got big power and could get a 1st round KO score and here over 100 DK points. If he does this with his cheap salary of $7.6k he will certainly be in the winning lineup. This is a good fight to target both sides but points per wages wise, Cutelaba has one of those higher ceilings on the card. I do not see this battle going to decision and the winner must score highly. I think if you’re making multiple lineups this weekend you should definitely have exposure to Cutelaba.
Fade of the week — Katlyn Chookagian ($8,700)
I’m fading a couple of fighters this week personally, but the individual I never even considered using was Katlyn Chookagian. It’s not that I do not believe she can win, because she for sure can. However, I don’t see her paying off an $8.7k DK salary with a win. I believe we would require a finish from her in this struggle to receive 10x that salary and I believe that is very unlikely to happen. The most Chookagian has ever scored in a UFC fight up to now in her career is 83 DK points. That would not be sufficient here to put her in the winning lineup at her 8.7k price label. I think if you’re making 20 or less lineups this Saturday you may safely fade Chookagian and if she’s a win it shouldn’t hurt much.
If you would like my own full-card DraftKings breakdown using analysis on each fight, my personal strategies & suggestions, and my selection outlook for every single fight then you can discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker should you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below: